Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000147 0.000163 0.000179 0.000199 0.000220 0.000244 0.000271
2025-06-01 0.000115 0.000137 0.000162 0.000194 0.000233 0.000279 0.000339
2025-06-08 0.000095 0.000119 0.000148 0.000187 0.000238 0.000303 0.000394
2025-06-15 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143 0.000189 0.000253 0.000340 0.000467
2025-06-22 0.000077 0.000104 0.000140 0.000193 0.000270 0.000379 0.000549
2025-06-29 0.000068 0.000095 0.000132 0.000189 0.000274 0.000400 0.000607
2025-07-06 0.000060 0.000086 0.000123 0.000181 0.000271 0.000410 0.000647
2025-07-13 0.000056 0.000082 0.000120 0.000181 0.000281 0.000440 0.000723
2025-07-20 0.000053 0.000079 0.000118 0.000184 0.000294 0.000476 0.000814
2025-07-27 0.000049 0.000075 0.000115 0.000183 0.000300 0.000501 0.000889
2025-08-03 0.000047 0.000072 0.000114 0.000185 0.000313 0.000539 0.000993
2025-08-10 0.000043 0.000069 0.000109 0.000183 0.000316 0.000560 0.001066
2025-08-17 0.000040 0.000065 0.000106 0.000180 0.000321 0.000585 0.001155
2025-08-24 0.000037 0.000061 0.000102 0.000178 0.000324 0.000610 0.001251
2025-08-31 0.000034 0.000057 0.000096 0.000172 0.000321 0.000620 0.001316
2025-09-07 0.000033 0.000055 0.000095 0.000174 0.000334 0.000665 0.001466
2025-09-14 0.000031 0.000054 0.000095 0.000177 0.000349 0.000718 0.001646
2025-09-21 0.000029 0.000051 0.000091 0.000174 0.000350 0.000738 0.001748
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.000048 0.000086 0.000166 0.000342 0.000737 0.001796
2025-10-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000085 0.000167 0.000351 0.000777 0.001963
2025-10-12 0.000025 0.000045 0.000084 0.000169 0.000364 0.000829 0.002172
2025-10-19 0.000023 0.000043 0.000082 0.000168 0.000369 0.000862 0.002333
2025-10-26 0.000023 0.000043 0.000082 0.000170 0.000383 0.000920 0.002580